Election 2010 - England Prediction

England
Constituency	Incumbent Party	Prediction
Aldershot	Conservative	Conservative
Aldridge-Brownhills	Conservative	Conservative
Altrincham and Sale West	Conservative	Conservative
Amber Valley	Labour	Conservative
Arundel and South Downs	Conservative	Conservative
Ashfield	Labour	Labour
Ashford	Conservative	Conservative
Ashton-under-Lyne	Labour	Labour
Aylesbury	Conservative	Conservative
Banbury	Conservative	Conservative
Barking	Labour	Labour
Barnsley Central	Labour	Labour
Barnsley East (formerly Barnsley East and Mexborough)	Labour	Labour
Barrow and Furness	Labour	Conservative
Basildon and Billericay (formerly Billericay)	Conservative	Conservative
Basingstoke	Conservative	Conservative
Bassetlaw	Labour	Labour
Bath	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Batley and Spen	Labour	Labour
Battersea	Labour	Conservative
Beaconsfield	Conservative	Conservative
Beckenham	Conservative	Conservative
Bedford	Labour	Conservative
Bermonsey and Old Southwark (formerly North Southwark and Bermondsey)	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Berwick-upon-Tweed	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Bethnal Green and Bow	Respect	Labour
Beverley and Holderness	Conservative	Conservative
Bexhill and Battle	Conservative	Conservative
Bexleyheath and Crayford	Conservative	Conservative
Birkenhead	Labour	Labour
Birmingham Edgbaston	Labour	Conservative
Birmingham Erdington	Labour	Labour
Birmingham Hall Green	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Birmingham Hodge Hill	Labour	Labour
Birmingham Ladywood	Labour	Labour
Birmingham Northfield	Labour	Labour
Birmingham Perry Barr	Labour	Labour
Birmingham Selly Oak	Labour	Labour
Birmingham Sparkbrook and Small Heath (Abolished)	Labour
Birmingham Yardley	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Bishop Auckland	Labour	Labour
Blackburn	Labour	Labour
Blackley and Broughton (formerly Manchester Blackley)	Labour	Labour
Blackpool North and Cleveleys (formerly Fleetwood)	Labour	Conservative
Blackpool South	Labour	Labour
Blaydon	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Blyth Valley	Labour	Labour
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton	Conservative	Conservative
Bolsover	Labour	Labour
Bolton North East	Labour	Conservative
Bolton South East	Labour	Labour
Bolton West	Labour	Conservative
Bootle	Labour	Labour
Boston and Skegness	Conservative	Conservative
Bosworth	Conservative	Conservative
Bournemouth East	Conservative	Conservative
Bournemouth West	Conservative	Liberal Democrat
Bracknell	Conservative	Conservative
Bradford East (formerly Bradford North)	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Bradford South	Labour	Labour
Bradford West	Labour	Conservative
Braintree	Conservative	Conservative
Brent Central (formerly Brent East)	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Brent North	Labour	Labour
Brentford and Isleworth	Labour	Conservative
Brentwood and Ongar	Conservative	Conservative
Bridgwater and West Somerset (formerly Bridgwater)	Conservative	Conservative
Brigg and Goole	Labour	Conservative
Brighton Kemptown	Labour	Conservative
Brighton Pavilion	Labour	Green
Bristol East	Labour	Labour
Bristol North West	Labour	Labour
Bristol South	Labour	Conservative
Bristol West	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Broadland (formerly Mid Norfolk)	Conservative	Conservative
Bromley and Chislehurst	Conservative	Conservative
Bromsgrove	Conservative	Conservative
Broxbourne	Conservative	Conservative
Broxtowe	Labour	Conservative
Buckingham	Conservative	Speaker
Burnley	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Burton	Labour	Conservative
Bury North	Labour	Conservative
Bury South	Labour	Labour
Bury St Edmunds	Conservative	Conservative
Calder Valley	Labour	Conservative
Camberwell and Peckham	Labour	Labour
Camborne and Redruth (formerly Falmouth and Camborne)	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Cambridge	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Cannock Chase	Labour	Labour
Canterbury	Conservative	Conservative
Carlisle	Labour	Conservative
Carshalton and Wallington	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Castle Point	Conservative	Conservative
Central Devon - New Constituency		Conservative
Central Suffolk and North Ipswich	Conservative	Conservative
Charnwood	Conservative	Conservative
Chatham and Aylesford	Labour	Conservative
Cheadle	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Chelmsford (formerly West Chelmsford)	Conservative	Conservative
Chelsea and Fulham (formerly Hammersmith and Fulham)	Conservative	Conservative
Cheltenham	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Chesham and Amersham	Conservative	Conservative
Chesterfield	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Chichester	Conservative	Conservative
Chingford and Woodford Green	Conservative	Conservative
Chippenham - New Constituency		Liberal Democrat
Chipping Barnet	Conservative	Conservative
Chorley	Labour	Labour
Christchurch	Conservative	Conservative
Cities of London and Westminster	Conservative	Conservative
City of Chester	Labour	Conservative
City of Durham	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Clacton (formerly Harwich)	Conservative	Conservative
Cleethorpes	Labour	Conservative
Colchester	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Colne Valley	Labour	Conservative
Congleton	Conservative	Conservative
Constituency Abolished - Liverpool Garston
Constituency Abolished - Pontefract and Castleford	Labour
Copeland	Labour	Labour
Corby	Labour	Conservative
Coventry North East	Labour	Labour
Coventry North West	Labour	Labour
Coventry South	Labour	Conservative
Crawley	Labour	Conservative
Crewe and Nantwich	Conservative	Conservative
Croydon Central	Conservative	Conservative
Croydon North	Labour	Labour
Croydon South	Conservative	Conservative
Dagenham and Rainham (formerly Dagenham)	Labour	Labour
Darlington	Labour	Labour
Dartford	Labour	Conservative
Daventry	Conservative	Conservative
Denton and Reddish	Labour	Labour
Derby North	Labour	Conservative
Derby South	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Derbyshire Dales (formerly West Derbyshire)	Conservative	Conservative
Devizes	Conservative	Conservative
Dewsbury	Labour	Conservative
Don Valley	Labour	Labour
Doncaster Central	Labour	Labour
Doncaster North	Labour	Labour
Dover	Labour	Conservative
Dudley North	Labour	Conservative
Dudley South	Labour	Conservative
Dulwich and West Norwood	Labour	Labour
Ealing Central and Acton - New Constituency		Conservative
Ealing North	Labour	Labour
Ealing Southall	Labour	Labour
Easington	Labour	Labour
East Devon	Conservative	Conservative
East Ham	Labour	Labour
East Hampshire	Conservative	Conservative
East Surrey	Conservative	Conservative
East Worthing and Shoreham	Conservative	Conservative
East Yorkshire	Conservative	Conservative
Eastbourne	Conservative	Conservative
Eastleigh	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Eddisbury	Conservative	Conservative
Edmonton	Labour	Labour
Ellesmere Port and Neston	Labour	Labour
Elmet and Rothwell (formerly Elmet)	Labour	Conservative
Eltham	Labour	Conservative
Enfield North	Labour	Conservative
Enfield Southgate	Conservative	Conservative
Epping Forest	Conservative	Conservative
Epsom and Ewell	Conservative	Conservative
Erewash	Labour	Labour
Erith and Thamesmead	Labour	Labour
Esher and Walton	Conservative	Conservative
Exeter	Labour	Labour
Fareham	Conservative	Conservative
Faversham and Mid Kent	Conservative	Conservative
Feltham and Heston	Labour	Labour
Filton and Bradley Stoke - New Constituency		Liberal Democrat
Finchley and Golders Green	Labour	Conservative
Folkestone and Hythe	Conservative	Conservative
Forest of Dean	Conservative	Conservative
Fylde	Conservative	Conservative
Gainsborough	Conservative	Conservative
Garston and Halewood (formerly Knowsley South)	Labour	Labour
Gateshead (formerly Gateshead East and Washington West)	Labour	Labour
Gedling	Labour	Conservative
Gillingham and Rainham (formerly Gillingham)	Labour	Conservative
Gloucester	Labour	Conservative
Gosport	Conservative	Conservative
Grantham and Stamford	Conservative	Conservative
Gravesham	Conservative	Conservative
Great Grimsby	Labour	Labour
Great Yarmouth	Labour	Conservative
Greenwich and Woolwich	Labour	Labour
Guildford	Conservative	Liberal Democrat
Hackney North and Stoke Newington	Labour	Labour
Hackney South and Shoreditch	Labour	Labour
Halesowen and Rowley Regis	Labour	Conservative
Halifax	Labour	Conservative
Haltemprice and Howden	Conservative	Conservative
Halton	Labour	Labour
Hammersmith (formerly Ealing, Acton and Shepherd's Bush)	Labour	Conservative
Hampstead and Highgate (Now Hampstead and Kilburn)
Hampstead and Kilburn (formerly Brent South)	Labour	Labour
Harborough	Conservative	Conservative
Harlow	Labour	Conservative
Harrogate and Knaresborough	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Harrow East	Labour	Conservative
Harrow West	Labour	Labour
Hartlepool	Labour	Labour
Harwich and North Essex (formerly North Essex)	Conservative	Conservative
Hastings and Rye	Labour	Conservative
Havant	Conservative	Conservative
Hayes and Harlington	Labour	Labour
Hazel Grove	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrats
Hemel Hempstead	Conservative	Conservative
Hemsworth	Labour	Labour
Hendon	Labour	Conservative
Henley	Conservative	Conservative
Hereford and South Herefordshire (formerly Hereford)	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrats
Hertford and Stortford	Conservative	Conservative
Hertsmere	Conservative	Conservative
Hexham	Conservative	Conservative
Heywood and Middleton	Labour	Labour
High Peak	Labour	Conservative
Hitchin and Harpenden	Conservative	Conservative
Holborn and St. Pancras	Labour	Labour
Hornchurch and Upminster (formerly Hornchurch)	Conservative	Conservative
Hornsey and Wood Green	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrats
Horsham	Conservative	Conservative
Houghton and Sunderland South (formerly Houghton and Washington East)	Labour	Labour
Hove	Labour	Conservative
Huddersfield	Labour	Labour
Huntingdon	Conservative	Conservative
Hyndburn	Labour	Labour
Ilford North	Conservative	Conservative
Ilford South	Labour	Labour
Ipswich	Labour	Labour
Isle of Wight	Conservative	Conservative
Islington North	Labour	Labour
Islington South and Finsbury	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Jarrow	Labour	Labour
Keighley	Labour	Conservative
Kenilworth and Southam (formerly Rugby and Kenilworth)	Conservative	Conservative
Kensington (formerly Kensington and Chelsea)	Conservative	Conservative
Kettering	Conservative	Conservative
Kingston and Surbiton	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Kingston upon Hull East	Labour	Labour
Kingston upon Hull North	Labour	Labour
Kingston upon Hull West and Hessle	Labour	Labour
Kingswood	Labour	Labour
Knowsley (formerly Knowsley North and Sefton East)	Labour	Labour
Lancaster and Fleetwood - New Constituency		Labour
Leeds Central	Labour	Labour
Leeds East	Labour	Labour
Leeds North East	Labour	Labour
Leeds North West	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Leeds West	Labour	Labour
Leicester East	Labour	Labour
Leicester South	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Leicester West	Labour	Labour
Leigh	Labour	Labour
Lewes	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Lewisham Deptford	Labour	Labour
Lewisham East	Labour	Labour
Lewisham West and Penge (formerly Lewisham West)	Labour	Labour
Leyton and Wanstead	Labour	Labour
Lichfield	Conservative	Conservative
Lincoln	Labour	Conservative
Liverpool Riverside	Labour	Labour
Liverpool Walton	Labour	Labour
Liverpool Wavertree	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Liverpool West Derby	Labour	Labour
Loughborough	Labour	Conservative
Louth and Horncastle	Conservative	Conservative
Ludlow	Conservative	Conservative
Luton North	Labour	Labour
Luton South	Labour	Conservative
Macclesfield	Conservative	Conservative
Maidenhead	Conservative	Conservative
Maidstone and The Weald	Conservative	Conservative
Makerfield	Labour	Labour
Maldon (formerly Maldon and East Chelmsford)	Conservative	Conservative
Manchester Central	Labour	Labour
Manchester Gorton	Labour	Labour
Manchester Withington	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Mansfield	Labour	Labour
Meon Valley - New Constituency		Liberal Democrat
Meriden	Conservative	Conservative
Mid Bedfordshire	Conservative	Conservative
Mid Derbyshire - New Constituency		Conservative
Mid Dorset and North Poole	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Mid Sussex	Conservative	Conservative
Mid Worcestershire	Conservative	Conservative
Middlesbrough	Labour	Labour
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland	Labour	Labour
Milton Keynes South (formerly Milton Keynes South West)	Labour	Conservative
Mitcham and Morden	Labour	Labour
Mole Valley	Conservative	Conservative
Morecambe and Lunesdale	Labour	Conservative
Morley and Outwood (formerly Morley and Rothwell)	Labour	Labour
New Forest East	Conservative	Conservative
New Forest West	Conservative	Conservative
Newark	Conservative	Conservative
Newbury	Conservative	Conservative
Newcastle upon Tyne Central	Labour	Labour
Newcastle Upon Tyne East (formerly N'e upon Tyne East and Wallsend)	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Newcastle upon Tyne North	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Labour	Labour
Newton Abbott (formerly Teignbridge)	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford (formerly Normanton)	Labour	Labour
North Cornwall	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
North Devon	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
North Dorset	Conservative	Liberal Democrat
North Durham	Labour	Labour
North East Bedfordshire	Conservative	Conservative
North East Cambridgeshire	Conservative	Conservative
North East Derbyshire	Labour	Labour
North East Hampshire	Conservative	Conservative
North East Hertfordshire	Conservative	Conservative
North East Somerset (formerly Wansdyke)	Labour	Conservative
North Herefordshire (formerly Leominster)	Conservative	Conservative
North Milton Keynes (formerly North East Milton Keynes)	Conservative	Conservative
North Norfolk	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
North Shropshire	Conservative	Conservative
North Somerset (formerly Woodspring)	Conservative	Conservative
North Swindon	Labour	Conservative
North Thanet	Conservative	Conservative
North Tyneside	Labour	Labour
North Warwickshire	Labour	Labour
North West Cambridgeshire	Conservative	Conservative
North West Durham	Labour	Labour
North West Hampshire	Conservative	Conservative
North West Leicestershire	Labour	Conservative
North West Norfolk	Conservative	Conservative
North Wiltshire	Conservative	Conservative
Northampton North	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Northampton South	Conservative	Conservative
Norwich North	Conservative	Conservative
Norwich South	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Nottingham East	Labour	Labour
Nottingham North	Labour	Labour
Nottingham South	Labour	Labour
Nuneaton	Labour	Labour
Old Bexley and Sidcup	Conservative	Conservative
Oldham East and Saddleworth	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Oldham West and Royton	Labour	Labour
Orpington	Conservative	Conservative
Oxford East	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Oxford West and Abingdon	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Pendle	Labour	Conservative
Penistone and Stockbridge (Formerly Barnsley West)	Labour	Labour
Penrith and The Border	Conservative	Conservative
Peterborough	Conservative	Conservative
Plymouth Moor View (formerly Plymouth Devonport)	Labour	Labour
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport (formerly Plymouth Sutton)	Labour	Conservative
Poole	Conservative	Conservative
Poplar and Limehouse (formerly Poplar and Canning Town)	Labour	Conservative
Portsmouth North	Labour	Conservative
Portsmouth South	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Preston	Labour	Labour
Pudsey	Labour	Conservative
Putney	Conservative	Conservative
Rayleigh and Wickford (formerly Rayleigh)	Conservative	Conservative
Reading East	Conservative	Conservative
Reading West	Labour	Conservative
Redcar	Labour	Labour
Redditch	Labour	Conservative
Reigate	Conservative	Conservative
Ribble Valley	Conservative	Conservative
Richmond (Yorks)	Conservative	Conservative
Richmond Park	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Rochdale	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Rochester and Strood (formerly Medway)	Labour	Conservative
Rochford and Southend East	Conservative	Conservative
Romford	Conservative	Conservative
Romsey and Southampton North (formerly Romsey)	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Rossendale and Darwen	Labour	Conservative
Rother Valley	Labour	Labour
Rotherham	Labour	Labour
Rugby - New Constituency		Conservative
Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner (formerly Ruislip-Northwood)	Conservative	Conservative
Runnymede and Weybridge	Conservative	Conservative
Rushcliffe	Conservative	Conservative
Rutland and Melton	Conservative	Conservative
Ryedale - Abolished
Saffron Walden	Conservative	Conservative
Salford and Eccles (formerly Salford)	Labour	Labour
Salisbury	Conservative	Conservative
Scarborough and Whitby	Conservative	Conservative
Scunthorpe	Labour	Labour
Sedgefield	Labour	Labour
Sefton Central (formerly Crosby)	Labour	Conservative
Selby and Ainsty (formerly Selby)	Labour	Conservative
Sevenoaks	Conservative	Conservative
Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough (formerly Sheffield Brightside)	Labour	Labour
Sheffield Central	Labour	Labour
Sheffield Hallam	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Sheffield Heeley	Labour	Labour
Sheffield Hillsborough - Constituency Abolished	Labour
Sheffield South East (formerly Sheffield Attercliffe)	Labour	Labour
Sherwood	Labour	Labour
Shipley	Conservative	Conservative
Shrewsbury and Atcham	Conservative	Conservative
Sittingbourne and Sheppey	Labour	Conservative
Skipton and Ripon	Conservative	Conservative
Sleaford and North Hykeham	Conservative	Conservative
Slough	Labour	Labour
Solihull	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Somerton and Frome	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
South Basildon and East Thurrock (Formerly Basildon)	Labour	Conservative
South Cambridgeshire	Conservative	Conservative
South Derbyshire	Labour	Conservative
South Dorset	Labour	Conservative
South East Cambridgeshire	Conservative	Conservative
South East Cornwall	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
South Holland and The Deepings	Conservative	Conservative
South Leicestershire (formerly Blaby)	Conservative	Conservative
South Norfolk	Conservative	Conservative
South Northamptonshire (New Constituency)		Conservative
South Ribble	Labour	Conservative
South Shields	Labour	Labour
South Staffordshire	Conservative	Conservative
South Suffolk	Conservative	Conservative
South Swindon	Labour	Conservative
South Thanet	Labour	Conservative
South West Bedfordshire	Conservative	Conservative
South West Devon	Conservative	Conservative
South West Hertfordshire	Conservative	Conservative
South West Norfolk	Conservative	Conservative
South West Surrey	Conservative	Conservative
South West Wiltshire (formerly Westbury)	Conservative	Conservative
Southampton Itchen	Labour	Labour
Southampton Test	Labour	Labour
Southend West	Conservative	Conservative
Southport	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Spelthorne	Conservative	Conservative
St Albans	Conservative	Conservative
St Austell and Newquay - New Constituency		Liberal Democrat
St Helens North	Labour	Labour
St Helens South and Whiston (formerly St Helens South)	Labour	Labour
St Ives	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Stafford	Labour	Conservative
Staffordshire Moorlands	Labour	Conservative
Stalybridge and Hyde	Labour	Labour
Stevenage	Labour	Conservative
Stockport	Labour	Labour
Stockton North	Labour	Labour
Stockton South	Labour	Conservative
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Labour	Labour
Stoke-on-Trent North	Labour	Labour
Stoke-on-Trent South	Labour	Labour
Stone	Conservative	Conservative
Stourbridge	Labour	Conservative
Stratford-on-Avon	Conservative	Conservative
Streatham	Labour	Labour
Stretford and Urmston	Labour	Labour
Stroud	Labour	Conservative
Suffolk Coastal	Conservative	Conservative
Sunderland Central (formerly Sunderland North)	Labour	Labour
Sunderland South - Constituency Abolished	Labour
Surrey Heath	Conservative	Conservative
Sutton and Cheam	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Sutton Coldfield	Conservative	Conservative
Tamworth	Labour	Conservative
Tatton	Conservative	Conservative
Taunton Deane (formerly Taunton)	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Telford	Labour	Labour
Tewkesbury	Conservative	Conservative
The Cotswolds (formerly Cotswold)	Conservative	Conservative
The Wrekin	Conservative	Conservative
Thirsk and Malton (formerly Vale of York)	Conservative	Conservative
Thornbury and Yate (formerly Northavon)	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Thurrock	Labour	Labour
Tiverton and Honiton	Conservative	Conservative
Tonbridge and Malling	Conservative	Conservative
Tooting	Labour	Conservative
Torbay	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Torridge and West Devon	Conservative	Liberal Democrat
Totnes	Conservative	Liberal Democrat
Tottenham	Labour	Labour
Truro and Falmouth (formerly Truro and St Austell)	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Tunbridge Wells	Conservative	Conservative
Twickenham	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Tyne Bridge - Constituency Abolished	Labour
Tynemouth	Labour	Conservative
Upminster - Constituency Abolished	Conservative
Uxbridge and South Ruislip (formerly Uxbridge)	Conservative	Conservative
Vauxhall	Labour	Labour
Wakefield	Labour	Labour
Wallasey	Labour	Labour
Walsall North	Labour	Labour
Walsall South	Labour	Labour
Walthamstow	Labour	Labour
Wansbeck	Labour	Labour
Wantage	Conservative	Conservative
Warley	Labour	Labour
Warrington North	Labour	Labour
Warrington South	Labour	Conservative
Warwick and Leamington	Labour	Conservative
Washington and Sunderland West - New Constituency		Labour
Watford	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Waveney	Labour	Labour
Wealden	Conservative	Conservative
Weaver Vale	Labour	Labour
Wellingborough	Conservative	Conservative
Wells	Conservative	Liberal Democrat
Welwyn Hatfield	Conservative	Conservative
Wentworth and Dearne (formerly Wentworth)	Labour	Labour
West Bromwich East	Labour	Labour
West Bromwich West	Labour	Labour
West Dorset	Conservative	Liberal Democrat
West Ham	Labour	Labour
West Lancashire	Labour	Labour
West Suffolk	Conservative	Conservative
West Worcestershire	Conservative	Conservative
Westminster North (formerly Regent's Park and Kensington North)	Labour	Conservative
Westmorland and Lonsdale	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Weston-Super-Mare	Conservative	Liberal Democrat
Wigan	Labour	Labour
Wimbledon	Conservative	Conservative
Winchester	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Windsor	Conservative	Conservative
Wirral South	Labour	Conservative
Wirral West	Labour	Conservative
Witham - New Constituency		Conservative
Witney	Conservative	Conservative
Woking	Conservative	Conservative
Wokingham	Conservative	Conservative
Wolverhampton North East	Labour	Labour
Wolverhampton South East	Labour	Labour
Wolverhampton South West	Labour	Conservative
Worcester	Labour	Conservative
Workington	Labour	Labour
Worsley - Constituency Abolished	Labour
Worsley and Eccles South (formerly Eccles)	Labour	Labour
Worthing West	Conservative	Conservative
Wycombe	Conservative	Conservative
Wyre and Preston North (formerly Lancaster and Wyre)	Conservative	Conservative
Wyre Forest	Independent	Conservative
Wythenshawe and Sale East	Labour	Labour
Yeovil	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
York Central (formerly City of York)	Labour	Labour
York Outer (New Constituency)		Liberal Democrat

Election 2010 - Northern Ireland Prediction

Northern Ireland
Constituency	Incumbent Party	Prediction
Belfast East	Democratic Unionist	Democratic Unionist
Belfast North	Democratic Unionist	Democratic Unionist
Belfast South	SDLP	SDLP
Belfast West	Sinn Fein	Sinn Fein
East Antrim	Democratic Unionist	Democratic Unionist
East Londonderry	Democratic Unionist	Democratic Unionist
Fermanagh & South Tyrone	Sinn Fein	Independent
Foyle	SDLP	SDLP
Lagan Valley	Ulster Unionist	Ulster Unionist
Mid Ulster	Sinn Fein	Sinn Fein
Newry & Armagh	Sinn Fein	Sinn Fein
North Antrim	Democratic Unionist	Democratic Unionist
North Down	Ulster Unionist	Independent
South Antrim	Democratic Unionist	Ulster Unionist
South Down	SDLP	SDLP
Strangford	Democratic Unionist	Democratic Unionist
Upper Bann	Democratic Unionist	Democratic Unionist
West Tyrone	Sinn Fein	Sinn Fein

Election 2010 - Scotland Prediction

Scotland
Constituency	Incumbent Party	Prediction
Aberdeen North	Labour	Labour
Aberdeen South	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Airdrie and Shotts	Labour	Labour
Angus	SNP	SNP
Argyll and Bute	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock	Labour	Labour
Banff and Buchan	SNP	SNP
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Central Ayrshire	Labour	Labour
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill	Labour	Labour
Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East	Labour	Labour
Dumfries and Galloway	Labour	Conservative
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	Conversative	Conservative
Dundee East	SNP	SNP
Dundee West	Labour	SNP
Dunfermline and West Fife	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
East Dunbartonshire	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow	Labour	Labour
East Lothian	Labour	Labour
East Renfrewshire	Labour	Labour
Edinburgh East	Labour	Labour
Edinburgh North and Leith	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Edinburgh South	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Edinburgh South West	Labour	Labour
Edinburgh West	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Falkirk	Labour	Labour
Glasgow Central	Labour	Labour
Glasgow East	SNP	Labour
Glasgow North	Labour	Labour
Glasgow North East	Labour	Labour
Glasgow North West	Labour	Labour
Glasgow South	Labour	Labour
Glasgow South West	Labour	Labour
Glenrothes	Labour	Labour
Gordon	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Inverclyde	Labour	Labour
Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Kilmarnock and Loudoun	Labour	Labour
Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath	Labour	Labour
Lanark and Hamilton East	Labour	Labour
Linlithgow and East Falkirk	Labour	Labour
Livingston	Labour	SNP
Midlothian	Labour	Labour
Moray	SNP	SNP
Motherwell and Wishaw	Labour	Labour
Na h-Eileanan an Iar	SNP	SNP
North Ayrshire and Arran	Labour	Labour
North East Fife	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Ochil and South Perthshire	Labour	SNP
Orkney and Shetland	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Paisley and Renfrewshire North	Labour	Labour
Paisley and Renfrewshire South	Labour	Labour
Perth and North Perthshire	SNP	SNP
Ross, Skye and Lochaber	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Labour	Labour
Stirling	Labour	Labour
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
West Dunbartonshire	Labour	SNP

Election 2010 - Wales Prediction

Constituency	Incumbent Party	Prediction
Aberavon	Labour	Labour
Aberconwy (formerly Conwy)	Labour	Conservative
Arfon (formerly Caernarfon)	Plaid Cymru	Plaid Cymru
Alyn and Deeside	Labour	Labour
Blaenau Gwent	Independent	Independent
Brecon and Radnorshire	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Bridgend	Labour	Labour
Caerphilly	Labour	Labour
Cardiff Central	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Cardiff North	Labour	Conservative
Cardiff South and Penarth	Labour	Labour
Cardiff West	Labour	Labour
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr	Plaid Cymru	Plaid Cymru
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire	Labour	Conservative
Ceredigion	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Clwyd South	Labour	Labour
Clwyd West	Conservative	Conservative
Cynon Valley	Labour	Labour
Delyn	Labour	Labour
Dwyfor Meirionnydd (formerly Meirionnydd Nant Conwy)	Plaid Cymru	Plaid Cymru
Gower	Labour	Labour
Islwyn	Labour	Labour
Llanelli	Labour	Labour
Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney	Labour	Labour
Monmouth	Conservative	Conservative
Montgomeryshire	Liberal Democrat	Liberal Democrat
Neath	Labour	Labour
Newport East	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Newport West	Labour	Labour
Ogmore	Labour	Labour
Pontypridd	Labour	Labour
Preseli Pembrokeshire	Conservative	Conservative
Rhondda	Labour	Labour
Swansea East	Labour	Labour
Swansea West	Labour	Liberal Democrat
Torfaen	Labour	Labour
Vale of Clwyd	Labour	Conservative
Vale of Glamorgan	Labour	Conservative
Wrexham	Labour	Labour
Ynys Môn (formerly Anglesey)	Labour	Plaid Cymru

Ratf*****g - UK Style

There is a new style of politics developing in Britain, to anyone that has just a passing interest in US politics, the insidious sniping and constant mudslinging are all too familiar. It is not surprising that Nick Clegg has become a serious threat to the Conservatives and Labour, his performance on the first Leaders debate was accomplished in this X-Factor driven society, and his bounce in the opinion polls came as shock to everyone that had not seen Will Young beat Gareth Gates in Pop Idol.

Therefore it is only to be expected that the Right of Centre press has reacted to Nick Clegg in a way that is normally only reserved for war criminals and paedophiles. These personal attacks are shameful, they add nothing to the political debate, just contribute to atmosphere of cheap politics in the minds of the public. By all means attack the policies of the other parties, that is what the election is about - but personal slurs reduce this election to a substandard US election run on a shoe string budget.

Furthermore, the election debate is dragged further down into the mire when organisations like ConservativeHome, run "advertisements" like this:



Firstly, this is amazing from a party that, during the MPs Expenses scandal, claimed for duck houses and moat cleaning. Secondly and probably more importantly, it cheapens the Conservative message. At least in America they throw a bit of money at their slurs (see below):

The Kingmaker and I

In the run up to a general election, party leaders can be forgiven for making some pretty rash statements, the pressure and punishing schedule will inevitably cause a lack of focus. But to base your entire election campaign and manifesto around these pretty rash statements is disingenuous and fool hardy at best. Both Plaid Cymru and the Scottish National Party have taken centre stage this week with their manifesto launch and some pretty dubious claims concerning how they will use their influence in a hung parliament to gain concessions for their respective countries.

The claims themselves are not particularly dubious, every small party or independent will sell their vote on certain issues to gain influence in other areas, it is the way of a Westminster Parliamentary System. The disingenuous aspect to their claims is the misrepresentation and exaggeration to the electorate of the likelihood of these events; in essence they are suffering from small dog syndrome - they believe they are bigger than they are.

Currently the SNP have seven Members of Parliament whilst Plaid have three out of the total of 646, this represents 1.5% of the elected representatives at the House of Commons. This has always been traditionally adequate to contribute to debates, influence policy and potentially effect some legislation, but to now suggest that the national parties will have undue influence on any potentially weak or coalition government after this current election is simply not feasible.

According to the latest Populus Poll the current voting intentions are as follows:

• Conservatives - 32%
• Labour - 28%
• Liberal Democrat - 31%
• Other - 9%

If this was the result on 6th May, the potential breakdown of seats in the House of Commons would look something like this according to the BBC (the winning number of seats is 326):

• Conservatives - 234 seats
• Labour - 278 seats
• Liberal Democrat - 109 seats
• Other - 29 seats (SNP - 8 seats, Plaid - 3)

There is no conceivable calculation that would allow the national parties the influence they claim they will exert over the legislative process. The best case scenario for both Plaid and the SNP is that a minority government is formed by the Conservatives in which they control approximately 320 seats, this is the only outcome that would allow them the influence they desire. If Labour form a minority government the Lib Dems will probably become the kingmakers, either by way of coalition or by supporting only specific aspects of legislation.

However, this issue perfectly highlights the incredible inequities in our current electoral system and the bias that the incumbent administration can command over redrawing constituency boundaries to make marginal seats safer.

Fear and Loathing on the 2010 Tory Campaign Trail...

Harold Wilson once perfectly defined the British political landscape with his truism that a "week is a long time in politics", and for David Cameron the last week has possibly felt more like an epoch rather than just a long time. The only other person that can truly relate to this incredible sense of time distortion is the Chinese tanker Captain who crashed into the (not so insignificant) Great Barrier Reef, after sailing through illegal shipping lanes, causing untold environmental damage. He knew the outcome a long time before the accident happened, but he still tried in vain to turn the ship around, but those tankers take a lot of turning and the crash was inevitable.

This general election has already thrown up a few surprises (the Lib Dems second in YouGov latest opinion poll, anyone?), but the biggest surprise of the whole election campaign is the Tories inability to gain any significant political momentum. Given the economic conditions and the unpopularity of the incumbent government, the Tories must have believed that the election would be an easier fight than it has been...

The constant media references to the similarities between David Cameron and Tony Blair, have been somewhat misleading - giving the impression that the 2010 general election was going to be an inverse repeat of 1997, in which Labour swept to power on a popular tide of goodwill and hope. Probably a more insightful comparison would be to compare this election with 1992: the opposition in both examples are trying to reinvent themselves, attempting to throw off the shackles of negative public opinion and a lack of trust. Plus the rising spectre of increasing tough economic conditions, in which the harsh realities of a global recession will come to bear - the public may just be comforted by the devil they know.

There are several key factors which are impacting upon the Conservatives inability to gain a significant lead in the opinion polls:

• The Shadow Cabinet is weak and unable to connect with the public - in 1997 the Labour Shadow Cabinet was a significant strength of Tony Blair's election strategy, whether it was Robin Cook, Mo Mowlam, Gordon Brown, Jack Straw or David Blunkett; the Cabinet was prompted as a 'Cabinet of Talent'. Currently the Conservatives are appearing to focus solely on David Cameron and George Osborne, sidelining the poor(!) Chris Grayling for fear of costly gaffes. Even John Prescott was given meaningful airtime in comparison.

• Lack of a coherent message - the main focus of the Conservatives' election manifesto is the 'Big Society' in which the public can effect the running and management of many public institutions. The issues for most people are rooted in real problems, employment, transport or education, but the Tories have proposed an abstract concept that generates few pragmatic solutions for real issues. The Labour Party in 1997 offered a tangible response to the genuine concerns of the nation. The 'Big Society' is perceived as empty rhetoric, from the party that once claimed that "there is no such thing as society".

• Whilst other parties are weak on the topic of Europe, the Conservatives can not exploit their advantage - in the public's opinion the European Union is at a particularly low point, the rise of UKIP is testimony to this fact. The Labour Party and the Liberal Democrats are potentially committed to further European integration, but David Cameron is wary of using the populist EU stick to beat his opponents for fear that it may open old wounds, in the Conservative Party, that have only been plastered over - not healed. Witness the undercurrent of discontent at the 2009 Conservative Party conference, with David Cameron's pledge that if the Lisbon Treaty was ratified the next Tory government would work within its parameters.

• David Cameron's inability to connect with many of the electorate - whether this is due to old fashion class prejudice or the perception that he is style over substance, David Cameron has struggled to find a voice that speaks to a majority of people. This is not helped by an advertising campaign, organised by Andy Coulson, that appears to be confused and artificial. Most elections that are fought on the concept of 'change' have their vanguard amongst a section of the population that have been under-represented in previous regimes; youth, working class or ethnic sections of the community. It is difficult for the general public to believe that a privileged and wealthy white man is sincere about significant change - also it is not a typical election pledge by a party that is perceived to be more concerned with the conservation of society rather than its radical overhaul.

• The inability of the Conservative Party to reassure the public that the recession would have been better under their guidance - even though there are significant differences between Labour and Tory economic policy, it would have been impossible for the Conservative Party to have claimed that they would have avoided the recession with tighter regulations of the banking sector. After all it was the Conservative Party that actively encouraged deregulation of the finance sector allowing 'bankers' the freedom to recklessly gamble the country's economic stability by chasing larger profits.

 The Chinese tanker Captain and David Cameron have both discovered something important in the last fortnight - big ships take a long time to turn so it's vital to make sure that you have plotted correct course before you sail.

Clause 76

General Election Live TV Leaders Debates Rules

Audience selection

1. The objective is to select an audience which is broadly a demographic cross section of the country.

2. The audience to be made up of roughly 200 people, subject to venue capacity.

3. ICM has been appointed as an external recruitment agency and the methods of recruitment are based on their expert advice. In broad terms, we will aim to:

4. Recruit within a 30 mile radius of the host city, mindful of administrative borders on either side of that radius based on the revised ICM list of constituencies.

5. Recruit according to gender, age, ethnicity and social class to best reflect the broader voting-age population. The recruitment procedure will be transparent, and its methodology will be available to the parties for comment.

6. Ensure around 80% of the audience is made up of voters who express a voting intention at the time of recruitment.

7. These will be subdivided into ratios which reflect a ratio of 7 Labour, 7 Conservative, 5 Lib Dem .The political ratios will take precedence over the demographic in the final selection of the audience by ICM.

8. Within the 80% (see point 6) the broadcasters retain the right to recruit some audience members who express an intention to vote for smaller parties.

9. Ensure that around 20% of the audience will be undecided but will be politically engaged. ICM's definition of undecided voters to be the basis of this selection.

10. Reserve a small number of seats for participants from outside the ICM selected audience, whose questions have been pre-submitted and selected by the broadcaster's editorial panel. The broadcasters may use a variety of methods to encourage the submission of such questions from across the UK in the build up to the debates.

11. The number of questions from outside the ICM selected audience will be a maximum of four per debate.

12. Over-recruit by a small margin to accommodate "drop outs" or "no shows"

13. Issue audience members with a protocol of rules, including security procedures for entry and conduct during the debates. The protocol will be agreed by the parties.

Audience role

14. The objective is to ensure maximum debate between the party leaders - the distinctive characteristic of these programmes - whilst allowing the audience's voices to be heard directly posing questions.

15. Each broadcaster will nominate a panel to choose the questions for its debate. The panel's membership will be public, but they will meet in private.

16. Each selection panel will include a member to oversee compliance. List of names of panel members attached

17. The objective of each panel shall be to ensure fair question selection in order to frame a balanced debate within the rules of our agreements.

18. The panel will meet confidentially in the weeks running up to their debate.

19. All questions submitted by the ICM selected audience will be seen by a member of the panel. Email questions will be sifted and a selection given to the panel.

20. Initially, each panel will sift through a selection of questions drawn from those submitted by members of the public.

21. They will narrow down their selections in a series of meetings up to and including the day of the debate.

22. Each panel will have five to seven members, including a designated chair who would have a casting vote if necessary.

23. The panel cannot be quorate with fewer than three of its members present.

24. In selecting its questions, the panel will take full account of the following:

25. Each question will be relevant to all three party leaders.

26. No question shall focus on one party or one leader.

27. All questions will be based on election issues

28. Audience members will be made aware of these rules before submitting their final questions.

29. Half the programme will be based on the agreed theme. Within that portion of the programme, a maximum of three questions will be selected on a single sub-theme (as listed in point 65 of this document).

30. Half the programme will be unthemed. In this portion of the programme, a maximum of two questions will be selected on a single subject.

31. The range of questions chosen will reflect the broadcasters' legal and compliance responsibilities for due impartiality and fairness.

32. The panel will use its editorial judgement to select questions and will take into account factors such as the prominence of certain issues in the campaign, the distinctiveness of the different parties' policies on election issues, voters' interest and issues relevant to the role of the Prime Minister.

33. Within these rules, the editorial independence of the panel shall be paramount, because each broadcaster is answerable to its regulator for its programme content.

34. Questions may be selected by the editorial selection panel up to the start of the debate.

35. The selected questions will not be shown to anyone outside the editorial team in advance of the programmes.

36. Members of the audience will ask their questions. The moderator will ask the leaders to respond. The moderator may read email questions.

37. All questions will be addressed to and answered by all three leaders.

38. The audience members will be restricted to asking the selected questions.

39. There will be an option of viewer involvement via emails read by the moderator.

40. In order to maximise the time available for viewers to hear the leaders discussing election issues with each other, the studio audience will be asked not to applaud during the debate. There will be opportunities to do so both at the beginning and at the end of each programme.

Structure of programme

41. The programme will start with all three leaders on set and standing at their podiums.

42. The moderator will have a podium/desk and will move within a small area to allow eyeline with the audience and the leaders.

43. The moderator will introduce the leaders,

44. The first half of the programme will be on the agreed theme but with the agreement of all the parties, in case of a major national or international event not included in the theme of the debate, the moderator will ask the leaders for their reaction to the development at the start of the programme before moving on to the theme.

45. The time taken for the reaction to such an event will be added to the time available for the themed part of the debate, unless the event is clearly part of the theme of the debate, in which case the reaction will be counted as part of the time allotted to the theme.

46. Each leader will make an opening statement on the theme of the debate lasting for 1 minute. After the three opening statements the moderator will take the first question on the agreed theme. There will be closing statements of 1 minute 30 seconds from all three leaders at the end of the 90 minutes.

47. Each leader will have 1 minute to answer the question.

48. Each leader will then have 1 minute to respond to the answers.

49. The moderator may then open the discussion to free debate between the leaders for up to 4 minutes on merit.

50. The length of the debate on each question will be decided by the programme editor.

51. The programme editor will use their best endeavours to keep to the 4 minute time allowance but it may need to be extended in the interest of equality of treatment.

52. Questions will be taken on the theme until around half way through the programme, depending on timing and ensuring fair treatment of all three leaders.

53. At the end of the themed period, the moderator will open the debate to general questions selected by the broadcaster's panel from the audience or via email.

54. The same timing format will apply to the general questions i.e. each leader will have 1 minute to answer the question. Each leader will then have 1 minute to respond. The moderator will then open the discussion to free debate between the leaders for up to 4 minutes on merit

55. There will be a clock indicating the time remaining for statements, answers to questions and responses. This will be visible to the candidates and moderator but not to the audience in the debate or on screen.

56. The order of speakers, based on an agreed grid, has been determined by the parties drawing lots.

57. At the end of the programme the three leaders will shake hands.

Role of the moderator

58. To moderate the programme

59. To keep the leaders to the agreed time limits

60. To ensure free-flowing debate being fair to all candidates over the course of the programme.

61. To ensure fairness on the direction of the programme editor

62. To seek factual clarification where necessary

63. It is not the moderator's role to criticise or comment on the leaders' answers.

64. The candidates accept the authority of the moderator to referee the rules on stage and ensure a free flowing, fair debate conducted within the agreed rules

Themes

65. Order of themed debates. The order of the themes for the first half of each programme was determined by the broadcasters drawing lots. The order is as follows:

1.Domestic affairs including but not exclusively: NHS; Education; Immigration; Law and Order; Family; Constitution; Trust in politics; Political reform;

2.International affairs including but not exclusively; International relations; Afghanistan; Iraq; Iran; Middle East; UK defence; International terrorism; Europe; Climate change; China; International Development

3.Economic affairs including but not exclusively: financing of public services; Taxation; Debt; Deficit; Public finances; Recession; Recovery; Banking and finance; Business; Pensions; Jobs;

Set

66. The leaders will stand at podiums throughout the debate. The positions of the three leaders during the debates are to be determined by agreement with all parties.

67. The moderator will have a podium/desk and will move within a small area to allow eyeline with the audience and the leaders.

68. Each broadcaster responsible for their own titles, music, branding etc.

Audience cutaways

69. The purpose of the programmes are for the viewers to see and hear the party leaders engaging in debate with each other and answering questions from the audience. The audience is a key element of the programmes and has to be seen by the viewers but there will not be undue concentration of the reactions of individual audience members.

70. There will be a close up of the questioner while he/she is asking a question.

71. There will be no close-up cutaways of a single individual audience member while the leaders are speaking.

72. However if one of the leaders directly addresses an individual audience member, a close-up shot of that individual can be shown e.g. if a leader answers a question by directly addressing the questioner.

73. There may be group shots and wide shots of the audience during the programme.

74. The programme will be confined to events inside the debate studio.

75. Breaking News straps will not be put over live coverage of the debate. On news channels (Sky News, BBC News channel), the scrolling news tickers will offer other news but will not cover breaking news lines from the debates while the debates are taking place.

76. Each party will have the right to recall the negotiating panel made up of representatives from the broadcasters and the parties, during the campaign to discuss issues arising from the debates